CLICK ANY CATALYST TO SIMULATE OUTCOMES · MIX AND MATCH · COMPOUND PROBABILITIES UPDATE IN REAL TIME
0 / 4 CATALYSTS ACTIVE
C1 · FINLAND
C2 · CLARITY
C3 · FED
C4 · HEART
C1
FINLAND v HEART — CASE COLLAPSES
70%
19 months · 4 maximum extensions · 0 charges filed · Europol listing 404 confirmed April 2026 · Assault charge stripped by both INTERPOL + Europol ~Feb 2026 · SEC case fully dismissed Feb 2025 · Heart building ProveX on PulseChain publicly right now
Yield text finalised — Punchbowl has it · Tim Scott: "red zone" · Markup May · Floor vote June/July · Lummis confirms May markup at Bitcoin 2026 Conference · Presidential signature this summer · Remaining risk: Sen. Kennedy housing grievance
YIELD TEXT LOCKED ✓MARKUP: MAYFLOOR: JUN/JULSCOTT: RED ZONE
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C3
FED PIVOT — WARSH CUTS RATES
25%
Warsh confirmed 13-11 by Senate Banking Committee · Full Senate vote imminent · Inflation at 3.3% driven by Iran war oil shock · Brent crude above $110 · Rate cuts delayed — CME FedWatch shows no cuts priced for 2026 · Long term bullish
WARSH CONFIRMED ✓INFLATION: 3.3%IRAN WAR HEADWINDCUTS DELAYED
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C4
HEART DEPLOYS + PROMOTES
55%
~163K ETH (~$600M) on-chain verified · Sacrifice funds potentially undeployed · ProveX ($PRVX) launched March 14 2026 — building publicly · ~$2.7-$3M total on-chain liquidity across ecosystem · HEX 10,000x preceded by wallet pre-buying linked to Heart · Motive: legacy + glory + 4-year bag holders · Conditional on C1
ETH WAR CHEST ~$600MPRVX LIVE MAR 1410,000X PLAYBOOKCONDITIONAL ON C1
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C1 ONLY
$30K–$80K
3–8x · 32%
C1 + C2
$150K–$400K
15–40x · 17%
C1+C2+C4
$500K–$1.2M
50–120x · 21%
ALL FOUR
$1.5M–$4M
150–400x · 8.5%
CATALYSTS FIRING
—
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EXAMPLE POSITION
$10,000
No catalysts selected
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EXAMPLE ASSETS · NOT LIMITED TO
$PLS$pHEX$eHEX$PLSX$INC$PRVX
// SEPARATE STACK · INDEPENDENT
HIGH CONVICTION INDEPENDENT PLAY
$PDAI$WBTC
600x TARGET · INDEPENDENT TO THIS SIMULATOR · SEPARATE THESIS
MAY 2026 · DR_PEGGER
C2 UPDATED: 58% ↑ — Yield text locked in writing tonight (Punchbowl). Tim Scott "red zone." Lummis confirms May markup.
C3 UPDATED: 25% ↓ — Warsh confirmed but Iran war pushing inflation to 3.3%. No cuts priced by CME.
C1+C2+C4 compound: ~22%
SELECTED CATALYSTS FIRING
—
Select catalysts to calculate...
EXAMPLE STARTING POSITION
$10,000
Baseline — no catalysts selected
// EXAMPLE ASSETS · NOT LIMITED TO
$PLS$pHEX$eHEX$PLSX$INC$PRVX
// SEPARATE STACK · INDEPENDENT THESIS
HIGH CONVICTION INDEPENDENT PLAY
$PDAI$WBTC
600x TARGET INDEPENDENT TO THIS SIMULATOR SEPARATE THESIS · NOT MODELLED HERE
C1
FINLAND v HEART — CASE COLLAPSES
70%
19 months · 4 maximum extensions · 0 charges filed · Europol listing 404 confirmed April 2026 · Assault charge stripped by both INTERPOL + Europol ~Feb 2026 · SEC case fully dismissed Feb 2025 · Heart building ProveX on PulseChain publicly right now
Yield text finalised — Punchbowl has it · Tim Scott: "red zone" · Markup May · Floor vote June/July · Lummis confirms May markup · Presidential signature this summer · Remaining risk: Sen. Kennedy housing grievance
YIELD TEXT LOCKED ✓MARKUP: MAYFLOOR: JUN/JULSCOTT: RED ZONE
CLICK TO TOGGLE
C3
FED PIVOT — WARSH CUTS RATES
25%
Warsh confirmed 13-11 by Senate Banking Committee · Full Senate vote imminent · Inflation 3.3% driven by Iran war oil shock · Brent crude above $110 · Rate cuts delayed · CME FedWatch shows no cuts priced for 2026 · Long term bullish
WARSH CONFIRMED ✓INFLATION: 3.3%IRAN WAR HEADWINDCUTS DELAYED
CLICK TO TOGGLE
C4
HEART DEPLOYS + PROMOTES
55%
~163K ETH (~$600M) on-chain verified · Sacrifice funds potentially undeployed · ProveX ($PRVX) launched March 14 2026 — building publicly · ~$2.7-$3M total on-chain liquidity across ecosystem · HEX 10,000x preceded by wallet pre-buying linked to Heart · Motive: legacy + glory + 4-year bag holders · Conditional on C1
ETH WAR CHEST ~$600MPRVX LIVE MAR 1410,000X PLAYBOOKCONDITIONAL ON C1
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C1 ONLY
$30K–$80K
3–8x · 32%
C1 + C2
$150K–$400K
15–40x · 17%
C1+C2+C4
$500K–$1.2M
50–120x · 21%
ALL FOUR
$1.5M–$4M
150–400x · 8.5%
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NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE · PROBABILISTIC SIMULATION ONLY · ESTIMATES BASED ON AVAILABLE EVIDENCE MAY 2026 · CRYPTO CARRIES SIGNIFICANT RISK · DYOR · DR_PEGGER